Attention Tax Did you know that compute, power, HBM, NAND, the concrete, and transformers it takes to stand up a data center, the special kind of Taiwanese glass, and the alphabet soup that turns ligh...
The Upshot We remain medium-term bullish on the US economy and US equities. The US economy is strong but not overheating, and inflation concerns are likely to ease. Recent labor market data overstate ...
Since it’s been a bit over three years since the inception of the Citrindex, we think it’s a good opportunity to zoom out and take stock of the thematic universes we track – or as we call it, a State ...
Introduction For the first innings of the AI Infrastructure trade, it was simple enough just to know the basics. Large Language Models run on GPUs, buy Nvidia. AI compute will lift optics out of the t...
We have long spoken about how power is the most obvious intersection between our two largest themes of the decade. This is a brief update on the longstanding trend. As a reminder, those themes are Fis...
Introduction CitriniResearch’s raison d’etre is taking complex topics of interest for investors and explaining them in a way that’s intuitive. That’s why our work spans so many asset classes, and it’s...
Introduction Here at Citrini Research, we’ve been talking about “Agents” for as long as we’ve been writing about AI. Back in May 2023, in our Artificial Intelligence: Global Equity Beneficiaries piece...
Introduction For readers who have recently joined us, our job as analysts is to wade through the noise and identify where the puck is going. We’ve been doing this since we first began publishing resea...
Over the past year, we’ve spent more and more time following the developments of the defense industry as a key thematic trend. Our foray into the landscape was with the creation of a Drone basket in o...
Introduction Capital is rotating out of bits and into atoms. Software companies, the darlings of the last decade, are being forced to answer a question they’ve never had to answer before: what happens...
Introduction There is a lot going on in AI and the semiconductor supply chain. Almost too much, it seems at times. The wild performance in the most prominent players has reinforced the supply/demand b...
The Upshot In this piece, we will cover: US Macro Reacceleration: AI productivity outweighs job cuts Pro-growth policy and fiscal impulse ahead of midterms Liquidity injections alleviate funding press...
Introduction Our Approach to the “Year Ahead Outlook”: It’s a bit of a ridiculous premise isn’t it, the “year ahead outlook”? Just because the number on the end of the calendar changes, you’re suppose...
The first words of our August State of the Themes AI section were direct: Long GOOGL. We elaborated… OpenAI is compute-constrained. Without their own datacenters or their own chips, they are at signif...
The Upshot In our last Macro Memo, we expected: Slowing Without Breaking - labor market weakens but doesn’t collapse; further wage growth and rent inflation slowdown offsetting goods reflation. K-Shap...
Introduction Fifteen months ago, we initiated our Healthcare Innovation basket with a clear and (in our humble opinion) compelling long-term thesis: advances in medical technology and life sciences we...