Recapping Anthropic Investor Day

Happy Thursday.

We’re live on YouTube and 𝕏.

The current thing in tech and business is Anthropic’s numbers from Investor Day.


Today’s Lineup


Run of Show

Recapping Anthropic Investor Day

Lots of back and forth on the timeline interpreting the numbers from Anthropic’s Investor day. Here are the data points from key reporting that we were able to confirm:

Q3 revenue: $16.8B (+45% QoQ) (QoQ Growth rate in Q2 was +147%)

Annualized Q3 revenue: $67.2B

Adj. gross margin: 85% (Bloomberg report)

Adj. operating margin: 11% (YTD through Q3)

Revenue per $1 compute: $1.70 (Q3, per FT)

Distillation revenue: 5-7%

Another interesting story today is that both character.ai and Getty Images have filed for bankruptcy.

Character.ai filed for Chapter 11 after years of pressure over the safety of its chatbots, including lawsuits alleging that the platform contributed to teen suicides and self-harm. The company, which was valued at $1B just a few years ago, is now looking for a buyer. Character has agreed to a $20M bid from Disney to buy some of the company’s assets. According to a court filing, its estimated assets and liabilities are worth around $50-100M.

Getty, on the other hand, is filing for bankruptcy as part of a take-private deal with Koch Equity Development. The two main reasons for the company’s bankruptcy and deal with Koch: the failed $3.7B Shutterstock merger earlier this year, which cost the company more than $100M. And iStock, its royalty-free content platform, is getting crushed by the rise of generative AI use. In a Getty investor presentation, the company says they’ve seen “declining agency demand and disruption,” as AI tools make it easier for customers to generate the kind of stock pictures or videos they once would have paid Getty for.


Clip Spotlight: The Atlantic’s Josh Tyrangiel explains why SpaceX overtook Blue Origin despite Jeff Bezos having a two-year head start and far more capital to work with:

"Bezos founded Amazon with his head and Blue Origin with his heart. But he allowed Blue Origin to drift a little bit."

"A former senior NASA official who visited both of those companies in their adolescence said Blue Origin was an academic lab. They had beautiful 3D printers and beautiful buildings, but nobody was working. There's no energy there."

"Whereas at SpaceX, everybody was dirty and young. They were sleeping in the office. That's a product of the fact that Elon just didn't have as much money as Jeff."

"That gets us to the current day, where SpaceX is responsible for 80% of what was launched in the world in 2025. The next closest competitor is the Chinese government."


Headlines

NYT Opinion: What the Frontier Labs Know That We Don’t by Tyler Cowen

Ramp raises $1.85B at $60B valuation co-led by Dragoneer Investment Group, Thrive Capital, Founders Fund, Sands Capital, and Avenir Growth

Barron’s: A Tesla-SpaceX Merger Could Be Weeks Away

Variety: Fox’s $22 Billion Roku Deal Approved by Shareholders of Both Companies

FT: Anthropic tells investors quarterly revenue up nearly 50% to $16.8bn ahead of IPO

CNBC: Bank of America hired 1,000 contractors to patch software flaws exposed by Anthropic’s Mythos

NVIDIA releases Nemotron 3.5 Super VL

Reuters: South Korea’s KOSPI closes at 6-month low as chipmakers slump on AI worries

Bloomberg: Nvidia CEO Huang Says CoreWeave Improving, No Backstop Needed

FT: Investors dump data centre bonds as AI borrowers face ‘Darwin moment’

WSJ: Bloomberg CEO’s ‘Aggressive’ Stance on AI

Eric Gullichsen: Owed a billion dollars in NVDA stock

Nick Cammarata (Goodfire): Neural Networks Are Already Clean

NYT: ‘College GameDay’ is now Pat McAfee’s show. That has changed what it means for fans

Futurism: AI Agent Blamed for Deleting Entire Upcoming Season of TV Show

FT: Anglo American chief says tech giants show ‘deep interest’ in mining stakes

WSJ: To Get This Job at McKinsey, You’ll Need to Survive a Debate With AI First

WSJ: The Morning Risk Report: Debanking Probe Finds JPMorgan, Banks Cut Off MAGA Sellers and Democrat Groups


Posts of the Day


Special thanks to our sponsors: Ramp, Shopify, CrowdStrike, MongoDB, NYSE, Codex, Public, Console, Railway, Figma, and Cisco.

Also, we’ll be live at TomorrowX in Austin November 17-18. If you’d like to come, use code TBPN for 20% off your ticket.


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