Investing - Theory, News & General • Re: Expected Treasury rate hike already baked in?

The fed futures market currently gives about a 93% chance of a quarter point rate hike and bond pricing no doubt reflects this. There's a difference between 93% and 100%, so there should be a bit of additional baking.

The Fed will issue a statement and the Fed chair will have a press conference and those will provide additional information. Markets usually react noticeably to these events - you can usually see moment by moment changes as the information is transmitted and absorbed.

Statistics: Posted by Apple314 — Tue Sep 15, 2026 9:00 am