To select or not to select?

🫧 Open on Bubbles This post is by Aki New preprint To select or not to select: predictively consistent priors instead of model selection with Anna Elisabeth Riha, Leevi Lindgren, David Kohns, Paul Bürkner and me. arXiv.2606.22850 tl;dr: Model selection is not a substitute for building good models in the first place. Abstract: Bayesian modelling workflows often consider multiple candidate models of varying complexity. Model selection is commonly used to navigate potential trade-offs between model complexity